UA 695 · EWR → BNA

departs 3:17 PM ET · arrives 4:47 PM CT

Forecast issued Sat 6:00 PM ET · 21h before departure

Arrive at BNA more than 15 minutes late?

37% chance · ±2 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to BNA?

On time or early
62%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
13%
1–2 hours late
8%
Over 2 hours late
8%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ EWR is prone to delays

↑ 3pm departures from EWR are often late

↑ Cloud base down to 600 ft forecast at EWR that day

↓ Sundays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ BNA usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

EWR (origin) Gusts16 kt Ceiling600 ft Visibility5 mi Precip0.09 in

BNA (destination) Gusts12 kt Ceiling1,100 ft Visibility5 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 695 · EWR → BNA

Odds over time

How late will it get to BNA?