Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

UNITED · FLIGHT UA 709 LANDED 10:31 AM MT, ~10 MIN LATE · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Sunday, October 4 Today

UA 709 · IAD → PHX

took off 9:09 AM ET · landed 10:31 AM MT (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Sun 7:00 PM ET · 10h after departure

Arrive at PHX more than 15 minutes late?

10% chance · ±0 pts −4 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ PHX is prone to delays

↑ UA's recent on-time record

↑ Cloud base down to 400 ft, visibility down to 2.5 mi forecast at IAD that day

↓ Gusts to 27 kt forecast at PHX that day

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

Weather at each end

IAD (origin) Gusts8 kt Ceiling500 ft Visibility1.75 mi Precip0.12 in

PHX (destination) Gusts33 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 709 · IAD → PHX

Odds over time