Schedule: a typical summer Sunday (the flights of Jul 26, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

UNITED · FLIGHT UA 737 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Sunday, October 4

UA 737 · SFO → ABQ

departs 6:48 PM PT · arrives 10:25 PM MT

Forecast issued Fri 10:00 PM ET · 48h before departure

Arrive at ABQ more than 15 minutes late?

15% chance · ±3 pts +0 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to ABQ?

On time or early
84%
15–30 min late
5%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ 6pm departures from SFO are often late

↑ This flight has been late 28% of the time recently

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at SFO

↓ UA's recent on-time record

Weather at each end

SFO (origin) Gusts12 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility7 mi Precipnone

ABQ (destination) Gusts17 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 737 · SFO → ABQ

Odds over time

How late will it get to ABQ?