UA 775 · LGA → ORD

departs 9:24 PM ET · arrives 10:58 PM CT

Forecast issued Sun 5:00 PM ET · 4h before departure

Arrive at ORD more than 15 minutes late?

38% chance · ±0 pts −15 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to ORD?

On time or early
62%
15–30 min late
0%
30 min–1 hour late
22%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
8%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Visibility down to 2.5 mi forecast at LGA that day

↑ 9pm departures from LGA are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at ORD

↓ Sundays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

LGA (origin) Gusts22 kt Ceiling2,100 ft Visibility2.5 mi Precip0.15 in

ORD (destination) Gusts19 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 775 · LGA → ORD

Odds over time

How late will it get to ORD?