UA 784 · MEX → DEN

departs 8:03 AM CST · arrives 11:39 AM MT

Forecast issued Sat 4:00 PM ET · 18h before departure

Arrive at DEN more than 15 minutes late?

8% chance · ±2 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to DEN?

On time or early
89%
15–30 min late
<1%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
3%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at MEX

↑ DEN is busy at that time

↑ MEX is busy at that time

↓ Other factors

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at DEN

Weather at each end

MEX (origin) Gusts— Ceiling— Visibility— Precip—

DEN (destination) Gusts24 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 784 · MEX → DEN

Odds over time

How late will it get to DEN?