UA 785 · DEN → JAC

departs 7:08 PM MT · arrives 8:45 PM MT

Forecast issued Sun 5:00 AM ET · 16h before departure

Arrive at JAC more than 15 minutes late?

39% chance · ±3 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to JAC?

On time or early
61%
15–30 min late
23%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
9%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 7pm departures from DEN are often late

↑ UA's recent on-time record

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ Gusts to 25 kt forecast at DEN that day

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at JAC

Weather at each end

DEN (origin) Gusts25 kt Ceiling7,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

JAC (destination) Gusts11 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 785 · DEN → JAC

Odds over time

How late will it get to JAC?