UA 785 · MSY → DEN

departs 2:31 PM CT · arrives 4:20 PM MT

Forecast issued Sun 10:00 AM ET · 6h before departure

Arrive at DEN more than 15 minutes late?

48% chance · ±0 pts +11 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to DEN?

On time or early
52%
15–30 min late
28%
30 min–1 hour late
10%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into DEN at that hour are often late

↑ Cloud base down to 600 ft, 0.8 in of rain forecast at MSY that day

↑ UA's recent on-time record

↓ Gusts to 25 kt forecast at DEN that day

↓ This flight has been late 12% of the time recently

Weather at each end

MSY (origin) Gusts10 kt Ceiling667 ft Visibility3 mi Precip0.74 in

DEN (destination) Gusts24 kt Ceiling7,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 785 · MSY → DEN

Odds over time

How late will it get to DEN?