UA 967 · NAP → EWR

took off 2:39 PM CEST · expected to land 6:02 PM ET (scheduled 1:57 PM CEST → 5:53 PM ET)

Forecast issued Sun 10:00 AM ET · 2h after departure

Arrive at EWR more than 15 minutes late?

62% chance · ±0 pts +9 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to EWR?

LIVE

On time or early
38%
15–30 min late
51%
30 min–1 hour late
12%
1–2 hours late
0%
Over 2 hours late
0%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%; while it’s in the air they come from the FAA’s arrival estimate.

What’s moving the odds

↑ EWR is prone to delays

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at EWR

↑ Arrivals into EWR at that hour are often late

↓ Other factors

↓ Sundays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

NAP (origin) Gusts— Ceiling— Visibility— Precip—

EWR (destination) Gusts19 kt Ceiling2,700 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.09 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 967 · NAP → EWR

Odds over time

How late will it get to EWR?