Schedule: a typical summer Sunday (the flights of Jul 26, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 1005
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, October 4
WN 1005 · BWI → PBI
departs 8:30 PM ET · arrives 11:10 PM ET
Forecast issued Fri 12:00 PM ET · 56h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 49%
Sun 10/4
Mon 10/5 19%
Thu 10/8 10%
Odds over time
Arrive at PBI more than 15 minutes late?
45%
chance · ±4 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
45%
Leave 15+ late
57%
Arrive 1h+ late
17%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
5.9d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at PBI more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 25% · changed – in 24h
–
45%
Yes 45%
No 55%
Leave BWI more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 37% · changed – in 24h
–
57%
Yes 57%
No 43%
Arrive at PBI more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed – in 24h
–
17%
Yes 17%
No 83%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to PBI?
On time or early
54%
15–30 min late
16%
30 min–1 hour late
12%
1–2 hours late
13%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 200 ft, visibility down to 1 mi, 0.4 in of rain forecast at BWI that day
↑
8pm departures from BWI are often late
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
Sundays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at PBI
Weather at each end
BWI (origin)
Gusts 11 kt Ceiling 200 ft Visibility 1 mi Precip 0.42 in
PBI (destination)
Gusts 14 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.09 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.