WN 1006 · AUS → MAF

departs 9:56 AM CT · arrives 11:30 AM CT

Forecast issued Sun 7:00 AM ET · 4h before departure

Arrive at MAF more than 15 minutes late?

33% chance · ±0 pts +0 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to MAF?

On time or early
88%
15–30 min late
2%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
1%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Gusts to 25 kt, cloud base down to 600 ft forecast at AUS that day

↑ This flight has been late 24% of the time recently

↓ Sundays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

Weather at each end

AUS (origin) Gusts25 kt Ceiling700 ft Visibility9 mi Precip0.09 in

MAF (destination) Gusts20 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 1006 · AUS → MAF

Odds over time

How late will it get to MAF?