WN 1064 · PHX → DSM

departs 11:26 AM MT · arrives 4:15 PM CT

Forecast issued Sun 12:00 PM ET · 2h before departure

Arrive at DSM more than 15 minutes late?

62% chance · ±0 pts +2 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to DSM?

On time or early
69%
15–30 min late
22%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 11am departures from PHX are often late

↑ PHX is busy at that time

↑ Arrivals into DSM at that hour are often late

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at DSM

Weather at each end

PHX (origin) Gusts27 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

DSM (destination) Gusts9 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 1064 · PHX → DSM

Odds over time

How late will it get to DSM?