Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 1071 LANDED 10:21 AM CT, ~3 MIN LATE · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Sunday, October 4 Yesterday

WN 1071 · BWI → MDW

took off 9:46 AM ET · landed 10:21 AM CT (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Sun 10:00 PM ET · 12h after departure

Arrive at MDW more than 15 minutes late?

27% chance · ±0 pts +14 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 300 ft, visibility down to 2.5 mi forecast at BWI that day

↑ This flight has been late 29% of the time recently

↑ BWI is prone to delays

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at MDW

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

Weather at each end

BWI (origin) Gusts12 kt Ceiling500 ft Visibility1.5 mi Precip0.11 in

MDW (destination) Gusts23 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 1071 · BWI → MDW

Odds over time