Schedule: a typical summer Sunday (the flights of Jul 26, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 1079
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, October 4 Tomorrow
WN 1079 · BWI → ROC
departs 10:40 AM ET · arrives 11:55 AM ET
Forecast issued Fri 11:00 PM ET · 36h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 15%
Sun 10/4
Odds over time
Arrive at ROC more than 15 minutes late?
14%
chance · ±1 pts
+2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
14%
Leave 15+ late
21%
Arrive 1h+ late
4%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
5.5d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at ROC more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
14%
Yes 14%
No 86%
Leave BWI more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 16% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
21%
Yes 21%
No 79%
Arrive at ROC more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
4%
Yes 4%
No 96%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to ROC?
On time or early
85%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 200 ft, visibility down to 0.8 mi, 0.3 in of rain forecast at BWI that day
↑
This flight has been late 20% of the time recently
↓
Early flights usually leave on time
↓
Sundays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
BWI (origin)
Gusts 12 kt
Ceiling 200 ft
Visibility 0.8 mi
Precip 0.32 in
ROC (destination)
Gusts 16 kt
Ceiling 3,500 ft
Visibility 10+ mi
Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.