WN 1093 · BWI → MSY

departs 7:46 PM ET · arrives 9:42 PM CT

Forecast issued Sat 7:00 PM ET · 25h before departure

Arrive at MSY more than 15 minutes late?

42% chance · ±9 pts +27 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to MSY?

On time or early
57%
15–30 min late
11%
30 min–1 hour late
20%
1–2 hours late
8%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 100 ft, 1.0 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at SAV that day

↑ Cloud base down to 200 ft, visibility down to 0.5 mi forecast at BWI that day

↑ SAV is prone to delays

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ Arrivals into SAV at that hour are usually not late

Weather at each end

BWI (origin) Gusts11 kt Ceiling200 ft Visibility0.8 mi Precip0.13 in

MSY (destination) Gusts9 kt Ceiling500 ft Visibility3 mi Precip1.03 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 1093 · BWI → MSY

Odds over time

How late will it get to MSY?