Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 1130 LANDED 12:07 PM ET, ~12 MIN LATE · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Sunday, October 4 Today

WN 1130 · ABQ → MCO

took off 7:05 AM MT · landed 12:07 PM ET (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Sun 3:00 PM ET · 6h after departure

Arrive at MCO more than 15 minutes late?

9% chance · ±0 pts +2 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ MCO is busy at that time

↑ Thunderstorms forecast at MCO that day

↑ This flight has been late 18% of the time recently

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ 7am departures from ABQ are usually not late

Weather at each end

ABQ (origin) Gusts32 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

MCO (destination) Gusts9 kt Ceiling11,000 ft Visibility3 mi Precip0.17 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 1130 · ABQ → MCO

Odds over time