Schedule: a typical summer Sunday (the flights of Jul 26, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 1136
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, October 4 Today
WN 1136 · BNA → DAL
departs 2:35 PM CT · arrives 4:30 PM CT
Forecast issued Sun 9:00 AM ET · 7h before departure
Watch this flight
Odds over time
Arrive at DAL more than 15 minutes late?
39%
chance · ±0 pts
+11 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
39%
Leave 15+ late
38%
Arrive 1h+ late
5%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
5.7d
2d
1d
12h
Now
Departs
Lands
Arrive at DAL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 35% · changed +11 pts in 24h
+11 pts
39%
Yes 39%
No 61%
Leave BNA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 32% · changed +9 pts in 24h
+9 pts
38%
Yes 38%
No 62%
Arrive at DAL more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
5%
Yes 5%
No 95%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 100%
How late will it get to DAL?
On time or early
61%
15–30 min late
21%
30 min–1 hour late
13%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
2pm departures from BNA are often late
↑
Arrivals into DAL at that hour are often late
↑
Cloud base down to 600 ft forecast at DAL that day
↓
Sundays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
Cloud base down to 700 ft forecast at BNA that day
Weather at each end
BNA (origin)
Gusts 10 kt Ceiling 700 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
DAL (destination)
Gusts 17 kt Ceiling 600 ft Visibility 7 mi Precip 0.17 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.