Schedule: a typical summer Sunday (the flights of Jul 26, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 1145 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Sunday, October 4 Tomorrow

WN 1145 · BWI → DTW

departs 10:40 AM ET · arrives 12:15 PM ET

Forecast issued Sat 7:00 PM ET · 16h before departure

Arrive at DTW more than 15 minutes late?

19% chance · ±1 pts +6 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to DTW?

On time or early
80%
15–30 min late
11%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 200 ft, visibility down to 0.5 mi forecast at BWI that day

↑ This flight has been late 24% of the time recently

↑ WN's recent on-time record

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at DTW

↓ Sundays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

BWI (origin) Gusts11 kt Ceiling200 ft Visibility0.8 mi Precip0.13 in

DTW (destination) Gusts17 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 1145 · BWI → DTW

Odds over time

How late will it get to DTW?