Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 1149 LANDED 10:20 PM MT, ~11 MIN LATE · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Sunday, October 4 Today

WN 1149 · LAS → PHX

took off 9:36 PM PT · landed 10:20 PM MT (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Sun 10:00 PM ET · 2h before departure

Arrive at PHX more than 15 minutes late?

69% chance · ±0 pts +27 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ 9pm departures from LAS are often late

↑ WN's recent on-time record

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at LAS

↓ Gusts to 33 kt forecast at PHX that day

Weather at each end

LAS (origin) Gusts7 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

PHX (destination) Gusts33 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 1149 · LAS → PHX

Odds over time