Schedule: a typical summer Sunday (the flights of Jul 26, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 1159
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, October 4
WN 1159 · DEN → ALB
departs 11:45 AM MT · arrives 5:20 PM ET
Forecast issued Fri 3:00 PM ET · 47h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 25%
Sat 10/3 20%
Sun 10/4
Mon 10/5 22%
Odds over time
Arrive at ALB more than 15 minutes late?
28%
chance · ±5 pts
−2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
28%
Leave 15+ late
30%
Arrive 1h+ late
6%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
5.7d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at ALB more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 20% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
28%
Yes 28%
No 72%
Leave DEN more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 27% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
30%
Yes 30%
No 70%
Arrive at ALB more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
6%
Yes 6%
No 94%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 100%
How late will it get to ALB?
On time or early
72%
15–30 min late
13%
30 min–1 hour late
9%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
11am departures from DEN are often late
↑
This flight has been late 24% of the time recently
↑
DEN is busy at that time
↓
Gusts to 27 kt forecast at DEN that day
↓
Sundays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
DEN (origin)
Gusts 26 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
ALB (destination)
Gusts 15 kt Ceiling 1,100 ft Visibility 4 mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.