WN 1161 · DAL → MCO

departs 5:50 PM CT · arrives 9:32 PM ET

Forecast issued Sun 10:00 AM ET · 9h before departure

Arrive at MCO more than 15 minutes late?

55% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to MCO?

On time or early
44%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
25%
1–2 hours late
15%
Over 2 hours late
8%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Thunderstorms forecast at MCO that day

↑ Arrivals into MCO at that hour are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ MCO usually runs smoothly

↓ Sundays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

DAL (origin) Gusts17 kt Ceiling600 ft Visibility7 mi Precip0.27 in

MCO (destination) Gusts11 kt Ceiling9,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.22 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 1161 · DAL → MCO

Odds over time

How late will it get to MCO?