Schedule: a typical summer Sunday (the flights of Jul 26, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 1172
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, October 4
WN 1172 · SAT → ELP
departs 12:30 PM CT · arrives 1:00 PM MT
Forecast issued Fri 3:00 PM ET · 46h before departure
Watch this flight
Odds over time
Arrive at ELP more than 15 minutes late?
16%
chance · ±3 pts
−6 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
16%
Leave 15+ late
15%
Arrive 1h+ late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
5.6d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at ELP more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 10% · changed −6 pts in 24h
−6 pts
16%
Yes 16%
No 84%
Leave SAT more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 11% · changed −3 pts in 24h
−3 pts
15%
Yes 15%
No 85%
Arrive at ELP more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 100%
How late will it get to ELP?
On time or early
83%
15–30 min late
9%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Gusts to 27 kt, cloud base down to 1,300 ft forecast at SAT that day
↑
ELP is prone to delays
↑
Other factors
↓
Sundays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
Gusts to 26 kt forecast at ELP that day
Weather at each end
SAT (origin)
Gusts 26 kt Ceiling 1,300 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
ELP (destination)
Gusts 25 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.