WN 1251 · ATL → AUS

departs 5:45 PM ET · arrives 7:16 PM CT

Forecast issued Sun 3:00 PM ET · 3h before departure

Arrive at AUS more than 15 minutes late?

88% chance · ±0 pts +30 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to AUS?

On time or early
12%
15–30 min late
57%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
27%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 5pm departures from ATL are often late

↑ Cloud base down to 700 ft forecast at ATL that day

↑ Arrivals into AUS at that hour are often late

↓ ATL usually runs smoothly

↓ Sundays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

ATL (origin) Gusts6 kt Ceiling900 ft Visibility4 mi Precip0.03 in

AUS (destination) Gusts25 kt Ceiling700 ft Visibility3 mi Precip0.06 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 1251 · ATL → AUS

Odds over time

How late will it get to AUS?