Schedule: a typical summer Sunday (the flights of Jul 26, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 1268 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Sunday, October 4

WN 1268 · DAL → OAK

departs 8:05 AM CT · arrives 9:45 AM PT

Forecast issued Fri 5:00 PM ET · 40h before departure

Arrive at OAK more than 15 minutes late?

11% chance · ±1 pts +0 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to OAK?

On time or early
88%
15–30 min late
4%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ DAL is prone to delays

↑ This flight has been late 27% of the time recently

↑ Cloud base down to 900 ft forecast at DAL that day

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ Arrivals into OAK at that hour are usually not late

Weather at each end

DAL (origin) Gusts18 kt Ceiling900 ft Visibility7 mi Precip0.03 in

OAK (destination) Gusts11 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility9 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 1268 · DAL → OAK

Odds over time

How late will it get to OAK?