WN 1347 · TPA → CMH

departs 9:41 PM ET · arrives 12:03 AM ET

Forecast issued Sun 12:00 PM ET · 10h before departure

Arrive at CMH more than 15 minutes late?

44% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to CMH?

On time or early
56%
15–30 min late
14%
30 min–1 hour late
19%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Thunderstorms forecast at TPA that day

↑ 9pm departures from TPA are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ Sundays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at CMH

Weather at each end

TPA (origin) Gusts14 kt Ceiling6,500 ft Visibility9 mi Precip0.10 in

CMH (destination) Gusts9 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 1347 · TPA → CMH

Odds over time

How late will it get to CMH?