WN 1363 · MSY → FLL

departs 6:30 AM CT · arrives 9:33 AM ET

Forecast issued Sat 5:00 PM ET · 14h before departure

Arrive at FLL more than 15 minutes late?

10% chance · ±3 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to FLL?

On time or early
89%
15–30 min late
4%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
1%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 600 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 1.0 in of rain forecast at MSY that day

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at FLL

↑ This flight has been late 18% of the time recently

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ 6am departures from MSY are usually not late

Weather at each end

MSY (origin) Gusts9 kt Ceiling600 ft Visibility2 mi Precip1.03 in

FLL (destination) Gusts17 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precip0.04 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 1363 · MSY → FLL

Odds over time

How late will it get to FLL?