Schedule: a typical summer Sunday (the flights of Jul 26, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 1418 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Sunday, October 4 Tomorrow

WN 1418 · CVG → BWI

departs 3:40 PM ET · arrives 5:05 PM ET

Forecast issued Sat 5:00 PM ET · 23h before departure

Arrive at BWI more than 15 minutes late?

31% chance · ±4 pts +9 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to BWI?

On time or early
68%
15–30 min late
20%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 200 ft, visibility down to 0.5 mi forecast at BWI that day

↑ Arrivals into BWI at that hour are often late

↑ WN's recent on-time record

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at CVG

↓ BWI usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

CVG (origin) Gusts8 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

BWI (destination) Gusts11 kt Ceiling200 ft Visibility0.5 mi Precip0.13 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 1418 · CVG → BWI

Odds over time

How late will it get to BWI?