WN 1424 · DAL → MSY

departs 10:25 PM CT · arrives 12:03 AM CT

Forecast issued Sun 10:00 AM ET · 13h before departure

Arrive at MSY more than 15 minutes late?

46% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to MSY?

On time or early
53%
15–30 min late
20%
30 min–1 hour late
13%
1–2 hours late
10%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 10pm departures from DAL are often late

↑ Cloud base down to 600 ft, 0.8 in of rain forecast at MSY that day

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ MSY usually runs smoothly

↓ Cloud base down to 600 ft forecast at DAL that day

Weather at each end

DAL (origin) Gusts17 kt Ceiling600 ft Visibility7 mi Precip0.27 in

MSY (destination) Gusts10 kt Ceiling667 ft Visibility3 mi Precip0.74 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 1424 · DAL → MSY

Odds over time

How late will it get to MSY?