WN 1429 · DAL → ABQ

took off 12:51 PM CT · expected to land 1:11 PM MT (scheduled 12:33 PM CT → 1:28 PM MT)

Forecast issued Sun 12:00 PM ET · 2h before departure

Arrive at ABQ more than 15 minutes late?

<1% chance · ±0 pts −7 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to ABQ?

LIVE

On time or early
100%
15–30 min late
<1%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
0%
Over 2 hours late
0%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%; while it’s in the air they come from the FAA’s arrival estimate.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 600 ft forecast at DAL that day

↑ 12pm departures from DAL are often late

↑ DAL is prone to delays

↓ Sundays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at ABQ

Weather at each end

DAL (origin) Gusts17 kt Ceiling600 ft Visibility5 mi Precip0.26 in

ABQ (destination) Gusts32 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 1429 · DAL → ABQ

Odds over time

How late will it get to ABQ?