WN 1435 · OAK → PDX

departs 1:51 PM PT · arrives 3:40 PM PT

Forecast issued Sun 2:00 PM ET · 3h before departure

Arrive at PDX more than 15 minutes late?

26% chance · ±0 pts +9 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to PDX?

On time or early
74%
15–30 min late
15%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 1pm departures from OAK are often late

↑ OAK is prone to delays

↑ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at OAK

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at PDX

Weather at each end

OAK (origin) Gusts11 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

PDX (destination) Gusts7 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 1435 · OAK → PDX

Odds over time

How late will it get to PDX?