WN 1467 · DEN → MSY

departs 7:25 PM MT · arrives 11:09 PM CT

Forecast issued Sun 3:00 PM ET · 6h before departure

Arrive at MSY more than 15 minutes late?

58% chance · ±0 pts +12 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to MSY?

On time or early
42%
15–30 min late
31%
30 min–1 hour late
17%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 7pm departures from DEN are often late

↑ Cloud base down to 600 ft, visibility down to 1.75 mi, 1.4 in of rain forecast at MSY that day

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at DEN

↓ MSY usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

DEN (origin) Gusts24 kt Ceiling7,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

MSY (destination) Gusts10 kt Ceiling600 ft Visibility1.75 mi Precip1.41 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 1467 · DEN → MSY

Odds over time

How late will it get to MSY?