Schedule: a typical summer Sunday (the flights of Jul 26, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 1514
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, October 4 Tomorrow
WN 1514 · CHS → HOU
departs 7:05 PM ET · arrives 8:45 PM CT
Forecast issued Sat 2:00 PM ET · 29h before departure
Watch this flight
Odds over time
Arrive at HOU more than 15 minutes late?
41%
chance · ±1 pts
−1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
41%
Leave 15+ late
44%
Arrive 1h+ late
11%
Cancelled
2%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
5.9d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at HOU more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 24% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
41%
Yes 41%
No 59%
Leave CHS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 32% · changed −3 pts in 24h
−3 pts
44%
Yes 44%
No 56%
Arrive at HOU more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
11%
Yes 11%
No 89%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to HOU?
On time or early
57%
15–30 min late
11%
30 min–1 hour late
18%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 200 ft, 1.4 in of rain forecast at CHS that day
↑
Cloud base down to 600 ft forecast at HOU that day
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
CHS usually runs smoothly
↓
Sundays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
CHS (origin)
Gusts 6 kt Ceiling 200 ft Visibility 5 mi Precip 1.45 in
HOU (destination)
Gusts 19 kt Ceiling 600 ft Visibility 3 mi Precip 0.19 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.