WN 153 · PVD → DEN

departs 12:25 PM ET · arrives 3:09 PM MT

Forecast issued Sat 6:00 PM ET · 18h before departure

Arrive at DEN more than 15 minutes late?

9% chance · ±1 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to DEN?

On time or early
90%
15–30 min late
2%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into DEN at that hour are often late

↑ DEN is busy at that time

↑ This flight has been late 23% of the time recently

↓ Other factors

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at DEN

Weather at each end

PVD (origin) Gusts11 kt Ceiling800 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.10 in

DEN (destination) Gusts24 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 153 · PVD → DEN

Odds over time

How late will it get to DEN?