WN 1600 · DEN → HOU

departs 8:36 PM MT · arrives 12:04 AM CT

Forecast issued Sun 7:00 AM ET · 16h before departure

Arrive at HOU more than 15 minutes late?

41% chance · ±3 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to HOU?

On time or early
58%
15–30 min late
18%
30 min–1 hour late
15%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 8pm departures from DEN are often late

↑ Cloud base down to 700 ft forecast at HOU that day

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ Gusts to 25 kt forecast at DEN that day

↓ Sundays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

DEN (origin) Gusts25 kt Ceiling7,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

HOU (destination) Gusts20 kt Ceiling700 ft Visibility7 mi Precip0.12 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 1600 · DEN → HOU

Odds over time

How late will it get to HOU?