WN 1638 · DEN → LAS

departs 3:11 PM MT · arrives 4:10 PM PT

Forecast issued Sat 7:00 PM ET · 22h before departure

Arrive at LAS more than 15 minutes late?

35% chance · ±8 pts +18 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to LAS?

On time or early
65%
15–30 min late
17%
30 min–1 hour late
10%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 3pm departures from DEN are often late

↑ Arrivals into LAS at that hour are often late

↑ WN's recent on-time record

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at LAS

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at DEN

Weather at each end

DEN (origin) Gusts24 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

LAS (destination) Gusts13 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 1638 · DEN → LAS

Odds over time

How late will it get to LAS?