WN 1647 · RSW → MKE

took off 2:33 PM ET · expected to land 4:01 PM CT (scheduled 2:25 PM ET → 4:25 PM CT)

Forecast issued Sun 1:00 PM ET · 1h before departure

Arrive at MKE more than 15 minutes late?

<1% chance · ±0 pts +5 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to MKE?

LIVE

On time or early
100%
15–30 min late
<1%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
0%
Over 2 hours late
0%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%; while it’s in the air they come from the FAA’s arrival estimate.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Thunderstorms forecast at RSW that day

↑ 2pm departures from RSW are often late

↑ Arrivals into MKE at that hour are often late

↓ Other factors

↓ Sundays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

RSW (origin) Gusts11 kt Ceiling1,900 ft Visibility9 mi Precip0.17 in

MKE (destination) Gusts19 kt Ceiling9,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.01 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 1647 · RSW → MKE

Odds over time

How late will it get to MKE?