Schedule: a typical summer Sunday (the flights of Jul 26, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 1650
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, October 4 Today
WN 1650 · DEN → OAK
departs 9:50 PM MT · arrives 11:30 PM PT
Forecast issued Sun 7:00 AM ET · 17h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Mon 10/5 22%
Fri 10/9 25%
Odds over time
Arrive at OAK more than 15 minutes late?
41%
chance · ±5 pts
+0 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
41%
Leave 15+ late
47%
Arrive 1h+ late
10%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.1d
2d
1d
Now
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at OAK more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 37% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
41%
Yes 41%
No 59%
Leave DEN more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 39% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
47%
Yes 47%
No 53%
Arrive at OAK more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
10%
Yes 10%
No 90%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to OAK?
On time or early
59%
15–30 min late
19%
30 min–1 hour late
12%
1–2 hours late
8%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
9pm departures from DEN are often late
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
This flight has been late 44% of the time recently
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at OAK
↓
DEN usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
DEN (origin)
Gusts 25 kt Ceiling 7,500 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
OAK (destination)
Gusts 11 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.