WN 1679 · ATL → MCO

took off 9:13 PM ET · expected to land 10:15 PM ET (scheduled 8:01 PM ET → 9:36 PM ET)

Forecast issued Sun 8:00 PM ET · 0h before departure

Arrive at MCO more than 15 minutes late?

100% chance · ±0 pts −10 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to MCO?

LIVE

On time or early
<1%
15–30 min late
3%
30 min–1 hour late
85%
1–2 hours late
12%
Over 2 hours late
0%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%; while it’s in the air they come from the FAA’s arrival estimate.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into MCO at that hour are often late

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at MCO

↑ 8pm departures from ATL are often late

↓ ATL usually runs smoothly

↓ Sundays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

ATL (origin) Gusts21 kt Ceiling800 ft Visibility3.85714 mi Precip0.32 in

MCO (destination) Gusts11 kt Ceiling3,100 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.05 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 1679 · ATL → MCO

Odds over time

How late will it get to MCO?