Schedule: a typical summer Sunday (the flights of Jul 26, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 1697
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, October 4 Today
WN 1697 · FLL → BWI
departs 7:05 PM ET · arrives 9:40 PM ET
Forecast issued Sun 2:00 AM ET · 17h before departure
Watch this flight
Odds over time
Arrive at BWI more than 15 minutes late?
48%
chance · ±6 pts
+10 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
48%
Leave 15+ late
42%
Arrive 1h+ late
9%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
5.9d
2d
1d
Now
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at BWI more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 33% · changed +10 pts in 24h
+10 pts
48%
Yes 48%
No 52%
Leave FLL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 39% · changed +7 pts in 24h
+7 pts
42%
Yes 42%
No 58%
Arrive at BWI more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
9%
Yes 9%
No 91%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to BWI?
On time or early
52%
15–30 min late
22%
30 min–1 hour late
17%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Arrivals into BWI at that hour are often late
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
Cloud base down to 200 ft forecast at BWI that day
↓
Sundays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
BWI usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
FLL (origin)
Gusts 16 kt Ceiling 3,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
BWI (destination)
Gusts 12 kt Ceiling 200 ft Visibility 3 mi Precip 0.04 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.