WN 1716 · AUS → BNA

took off 2:02 PM CT · landed 3:34 PM CT (scheduled 12:55 PM CT → 3:04 PM CT)

Forecast issued Sun 5:00 PM ET · 3h after departure

Arrive at BNA more than 15 minutes late?

Late chance · ±1 pts +2 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to BNA?

RESOLVED

On time or early
–
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
✓
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 1pm departures from AUS are often late

↑ Other factors

↑ Arrivals into BNA at that hour are often late

↓ BNA usually runs smoothly

↓ Sundays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

AUS (origin) Gusts25 kt Ceiling700 ft Visibility3 mi Precip0.06 in

BNA (destination) Gusts9 kt Ceiling700 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.01 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 1716 · AUS → BNA

Odds over time

How late did it get to BNA?