WN 1747 · DEN → LIT

departs 10:40 AM MT · arrives 1:51 PM CT

Forecast issued Sun 10:00 AM ET · 3h before departure

Arrive at LIT more than 15 minutes late?

33% chance · ±0 pts −7 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to LIT?

On time or early
89%
15–30 min late
4%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ DEN is busy at that time

↑ 10am departures from DEN are often late

↑ Other factors

↓ Gusts to 25 kt forecast at DEN that day

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

Weather at each end

DEN (origin) Gusts24 kt Ceiling7,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

LIT (destination) Gusts16 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility9 mi Precip0.02 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 1747 · DEN → LIT

Odds over time

How late will it get to LIT?