WN 1755 · DEN → SAN

took off 1:25 PM MT · expected to land 2:15 PM PT (scheduled 12:10 PM MT → 1:37 PM PT)

Forecast issued Sun 3:00 PM ET · 1h after departure

Arrive at SAN more than 15 minutes late?

100% chance · ±0 pts −5 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to SAN?

LIVE

On time or early
<1%
15–30 min late
10%
30 min–1 hour late
86%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
0%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%; while it’s in the air they come from the FAA’s arrival estimate.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into SAN at that hour are often late

↑ 12pm departures from DEN are often late

↑ SAN is prone to delays

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at DEN

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at SAN

Weather at each end

DEN (origin) Gusts24 kt Ceiling7,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

SAN (destination) Gusts10 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 1755 · DEN → SAN

Odds over time

How late will it get to SAN?