WN 1765 · SDF → BNA

departs 5:51 PM ET · arrives 5:59 PM CT

Forecast issued Sun 12:00 PM ET · 6h before departure

Arrive at BNA more than 15 minutes late?

32% chance · ±0 pts +9 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to BNA?

On time or early
68%
15–30 min late
19%
30 min–1 hour late
8%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into BNA at that hour are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ 5pm departures from SDF are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at SDF

↓ BNA usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

SDF (origin) Gusts7 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

BNA (destination) Gusts10 kt Ceiling700 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.01 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 1765 · SDF → BNA

Odds over time

How late will it get to BNA?