WN 1777 · DEN → ABQ

departs 5:40 PM MT · arrives 7:06 PM MT

Forecast issued Sun 5:00 AM ET · 15h before departure

Arrive at ABQ more than 15 minutes late?

37% chance · ±5 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to ABQ?

On time or early
63%
15–30 min late
23%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 5pm departures from DEN are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ WN's recent on-time record

↓ Gusts to 25 kt forecast at DEN that day

↓ ABQ usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

DEN (origin) Gusts25 kt Ceiling7,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

ABQ (destination) Gusts17 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 1777 · DEN → ABQ

Odds over time

How late will it get to ABQ?