Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 1798 LANDED 10:43 PM MT, ~13 MIN LATE · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Sunday, October 4 Yesterday

WN 1798 · DAL → PHX

took off 10:41 PM CT · landed 10:43 PM MT (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Sun 10:00 PM ET · 2h before departure

Arrive at PHX more than 15 minutes late?

72% chance · ±0 pts +26 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 10pm departures from DAL are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ WN's recent on-time record

↓ Gusts to 33 kt forecast at PHX that day

↓ Sundays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

DAL (origin) Gusts18 kt Ceiling600 ft Visibility5 mi Precip0.19 in

PHX (destination) Gusts33 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 1798 · DAL → PHX

Odds over time