WN 179 · HOU → BWI

departs 12:45 PM CT · arrives 5:03 PM ET

Forecast issued Sat 4:00 PM ET · 22h before departure

Arrive at BWI more than 15 minutes late?

35% chance · ±1 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to BWI?

On time or early
64%
15–30 min late
19%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
8%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 600 ft forecast at HOU that day

↑ Cloud base down to 200 ft, visibility down to 0.5 mi forecast at BWI that day

↑ 12pm departures from HOU are often late

↓ Sundays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ BWI usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

HOU (origin) Gusts20 kt Ceiling500 ft Visibility4 mi Precip0.40 in

BWI (destination) Gusts11 kt Ceiling200 ft Visibility0.5 mi Precip0.13 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 179 · HOU → BWI

Odds over time

How late will it get to BWI?