Schedule: a typical summer Sunday (the flights of Jul 26, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 1801
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, October 4 Tomorrow
WN 1801 · MSY → FLL
departs 7:40 PM CT · arrives 10:45 PM ET
Forecast issued Sat 4:00 PM ET · 29h before departure
Watch this flight
Odds over time
Arrive at FLL more than 15 minutes late?
33%
chance · ±5 pts
+2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
33%
Leave 15+ late
38%
Arrive 1h+ late
9%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
5.9d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at FLL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 28% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
33%
Yes 33%
No 67%
Leave MSY more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 37% · changed −6 pts in 24h
−6 pts
38%
Yes 38%
No 62%
Arrive at FLL more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 7% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
9%
Yes 9%
No 91%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to FLL?
On time or early
66%
15–30 min late
15%
30 min–1 hour late
9%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 600 ft, 1.3 in of rain forecast at MSY that day
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↓
MSY usually runs smoothly
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at FLL
Weather at each end
MSY (origin)
Gusts 9 kt Ceiling 667 ft Visibility 3 mi Precip 1.03 in
FLL (destination)
Gusts 17 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.04 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.