Schedule: a typical Sunday (the flights of Jul 26, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.

SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 183 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Sunday, October 4

WN 183 · DAL → SAT

departs 6:15 AM CT · arrives 7:20 AM CT

Forecast issued Thu 9:00 PM ET · 58h before departure

Arrive at SAT more than 15 minutes late?

13% chance · ±2 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to SAT?

On time or early
86%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
1%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Gusts to 26 kt, cloud base down to 1,000 ft forecast at SAT that day

↑ SAT is prone to delays

↑ DAL is prone to delays

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ Arrivals into SAT at that hour are usually not late

Weather at each end

DAL (origin) Gusts18 kt Ceiling600 ft Visibility7 mi Precip0.14 in

SAT (destination) Gusts28 kt Ceiling1,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.04 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 183 · DAL → SAT

Odds over time

How late will it get to SAT?