Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 1844 SCHEDULED · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Sunday, October 4 Today

WN 1844 · MDW → DTW

departs 1:26 PM CT · arrives 3:02 PM ET

Forecast issued Sun 11:00 AM ET · 3h before departure

Arrive at DTW more than 15 minutes late?

31% chance · ±0 pts +17 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Other factors

↑ 1pm departures from MDW are often late

↑ This flight has been late 24% of the time recently

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at MDW

↓ Sundays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

MDW (origin) Gusts11 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

DTW (destination) Gusts18 kt Ceiling9,000 ft Visibility9 mi Precip0.02 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 1844 · MDW → DTW

Odds over time