WN 1853 · ECP → BNA

took off 7:47 AM CT · landed 8:53 AM CT (scheduled 7:46 AM CT → 9:24 AM CT)

Forecast issued Sun 7:00 AM ET · 2h before departure

Arrive at BNA more than 15 minutes late?

Not late chance · ±0 pts +4 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late did it get to BNA?

RESOLVED

On time or early
✓
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 700 ft, visibility down to 1 mi, 2.5 in of rain forecast at ECP that day

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ 7am departures from ECP are usually not late

Weather at each end

ECP (origin) Gusts26 kt Ceiling700 ft Visibility1 mi Precip3.52 in

BNA (destination) Gusts11 kt Ceiling700 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 1853 · ECP → BNA

Odds over time

How late did it get to BNA?