WN 1860 · SEA → DEN

departs 2:25 PM PT · arrives 6:00 PM MT

Forecast issued Sun 3:00 PM ET · 2h before departure

Arrive at DEN more than 15 minutes late?

79% chance · ±0 pts +33 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to DEN?

On time or early
21%
15–30 min late
44%
30 min–1 hour late
16%
1–2 hours late
17%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into DEN at that hour are often late

↑ WN's recent on-time record

↑ This flight has been late 30% of the time recently

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at DEN

↓ DEN usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

SEA (origin) Gusts7 kt Ceiling100 ft Visibility0.25 mi Precipnone

DEN (destination) Gusts24 kt Ceiling7,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 1860 · SEA → DEN

Odds over time

How late will it get to DEN?